Hazards in Heritage Park: wildfire low, radon over the guideline in 12% of tested homes
Wildfire barely registers for Heritage Park, at 0% of the land within 25 km since 1986 (0.000% a year). Shaking is less of a worry than in most places, at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value ($0.030 typical). Hazard risk gives Heritage Park a grade of B+, from earthquakes and radon alone.
What stands out about Heritage Park’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Heritage Park: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Heritage Park faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Heritage Park: B+
Two inputs always count for Heritage Park, earthquakes and radon; the third, wildfire, counts only against a town.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. Only 66 homes were tested in the survey area, so the radon share is rough. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Wildfire is rare near Heritage Park: 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986, 0% within 5 km
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Heritage Park’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
Next to the typical Canadian town (0.000% a year), Heritage Park’s 0.000% is in the low band.
Around Heritage Park the forest is thin or far off: 0% of the land within 5 km and 0% within 25 km is forest fuel.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
Little or nothing burns around Heritage Park in a typical year; 60 of the 189 towns in Manitoba share that, and Flin Flon (Part) leads at 1.68%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Only 7.5% of Canada’s 2,610 towns are above the low band, which holds 92%; Heritage Park, at a rounded zero, is far from them.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
No flood study is listed for Heritage Park
Flood studies whose area touches Heritage Park, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
Nationally, Heritage Park has no listed flood study; the municipality is the place to ask.
Towns with a flood study on file
Flood maps are thinner in Manitoba, 18% of towns against 58% nationally, and Heritage Park has none.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Heritage Park.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Little shaking expected in Heritage Park: $0.006 a year per $1,000
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
0.2 times the typical $0.030: Heritage Park’s $0.006 is low for Canada.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
About level with the typical town in Manitoba: Heritage Park’s $0.006 against $0.006; Virden reaches $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Heritage Park is in the lower part of Canada’s range for earthquake risk; 88% of the 2,611 towns are higher.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Roads, pipes and bridges aren’t in Heritage Park’s figure, nor landslides or tsunami: it is buildings and shaking.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean). · Earthquake risk: one figure for all of the city of Winnipeg
12% of homes tested around Heritage Park are over the radon guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline. · Measured across the Winnipeg health region: radon tests
the typical Canadian town has 6.6% over the guideline; Heritage Park’s area has 12%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Around Heritage Park, 12% of tests topped the guideline, about the same as the typical town in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
More high tests than most: Heritage Park sits in a band that only 22% of Canada’s 2,611 towns share, with 4.6% above.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The share describes the area, not a house: in Heritage Park as anywhere, test to be sure.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Heritage Park
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Heritage Park; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
In fire season, check CWFIS for danger and active fires around Heritage Park, and listen to local authorities for orders.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Heritage Park’s neighbours compare on hazards
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heritage Park | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Sturgeon Creek 3,202 · 0.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Booth 9,016 · 1.4 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Crestview 8,658 · 1.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Kirkfield 4,100 · 1.8 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Westwood 5,716 · 2.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Buchanan 3,473 · 2.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | Yes |
None of the places around has more fire nearby than Heritage Park (low); Sturgeon Creek comes closest (low).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Heritage Park faces
What to do about the hazards Heritage Park faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Earthquakes are modelled. Shaking damage is modelled from the ground, the buildings and the odds of each quake, and published for whole subdivisions such as Heritage Park’s.
- Wildfire counts one way. The wildfire figure is the share of land within 25 km of Heritage Park’s homes burned each year from 1986 to 2025, past fire rather than a forecast, and it can only lower Risk.
- Radon is a survey. Health Canada’s survey tested some 14,000 homes over three months; until postal-area boundaries are loaded, Heritage Park takes its 2007 health region’s share.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. The flood inventory points to maps; it is incomplete and not the official source, so ask the municipality about any street in Heritage Park.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Heritage Park
Does Heritage Park flood?
With 0 studies on the inventory, Heritage Park’s flood risk is unmapped nationally; check with the municipality before buying.
Is radon a problem in Heritage Park?
Around Heritage Park, 66 survey homes were tested and 12% came in over 200 Bq/m³, a guide to the area, not to any one home.
Is Heritage Park at risk of wildfire?
Hardly at all on record: 0% of the land within 25 km of Heritage Park since 1986, a low band, though small grass fires aren’t mapped.
How big is the earthquake risk in Heritage Park?
Expected earthquake damage in Heritage Park comes to $0.006 a year for each $1,000 that buildings are worth.
How is Heritage Park’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Heritage Park grades B+ for hazard risk, from earthquakes and radon, with wildfire counted only where it lowers the grade.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).