Photo: HS01 · CC BY-SA 4.0Fewer crimes per resident are recorded in Dufferin than in 97% of Canadian towns
Each year brought 4.6 violent incidents and 8.7 incidents of property crime for every 1,000 residents (12.9 and 31.2 in the typical town its size). Scored on crime the police covering Dufferin reported across 2023 to 2025, the town lands on A+ for safety: #3 of 182 in Manitoba. Against usual levels of 85.7 and 62.8, violent and non-violent offences here reach 39.3 and 22.6.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Crime severity, crime rate and incident counts: one figure for all of the Carman Area detachment area.
What stands out about safety in Dufferin
Lower than most of Manitoba
Within Manitoba, the median town comes to 129.3 on the index, against 27.2 in Dufferin. Towns its size ↓
Easing since 2023
Between 2023 and 2025, Dufferin moved from 27.8 to 20, while the typical Canadian town its size went from 74.3 to 64.2. Year by year ↓
A lower index than most towns its size
Line up the 40 Canadian towns nearest in size by their index and Dufferin stands 3rd, the lowest first. Towns its size ↓
Police clear more here
For Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people the typical clearance rate is 34%; Dufferin’s police clear 43%, 66% of violent crime and 27% of the rest. Questions ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
What’s behind Dufferin’s grade
How sure: Less sure than most: the grade leans on the closest detachment, 7 km from Dufferin, since none reports under the town’s name.
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
Its place: #3 of 182 in Manitoba and #72 of 2,572 Canadian towns.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
From 2023 to 2025, Dufferin’s index dropped 28%
Crime Severity Index
2024 stands out as the heaviest year at 33.8, with 2025 the lightest at 20. The typical Canadian town its size went from 74.3 in 2023 to 64.2 in 2025.
Every year as a table
| Year | Dufferin | Typical town its size |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | 64.2 |
| 2024 | 33.8 | 68.8 |
| 2023 | 27.8 | 74.3 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering Dufferin, each year, against the typical Canadian town its size.
What police record in Dufferin, by type
Mischief and assault sit below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0.3 | 0.02 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 6.3 | 0.3 | 79% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 1.7 | 0.08 | — |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 0.7 | 0.03 | — |
| Robbery | 0.3 | 0.02 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 0 | 0 | — |
| Other violent violations | 1.7 | 0.08 | — |
| Breaking and entering | 26 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Possession of stolen property | 7.7 | 0.3 | 30% |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 23.7 | 1.1 | 17% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 8.7 | 0.4 | 15% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 32.3 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Mischief | 49.7 | 2.2 | 27% |
| Weapons violations | 4.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Administration of justice violations | 30 | 1.4 | 82% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 6.3 | 0.3 | 43% |
| Drug violations | 4 | 0.2 | — |
| Impaired driving | 31 | 1.4 | 47% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 0.3 | 0.02 | — |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
Dufferin comes 3rd of the 40 towns nearest in size
| # | Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonfield Ontario | 2,597 | 24.3 | 39.2 | A+ |
| 2 | Grey Manitoba | 2,655 | 27.2 | 39.3 | A+ |
| 3 | Dufferin Manitoba | 2,587 | 27.2 | 39.3 | A+ |
| 4 | Magrath Alberta | 2,566 | 36.6 | 46.2 | A |
| 5 | Saint-Polycarpe Quebec | 2,549 | 39.2 | 61.7 | A |
| 6 | Hatley Quebec | 2,512 | 39.9 | 58.3 | A− |
| … | |||||
| 40 | High Prairie Alberta | 2,607 | 334.5 | 521.9 | D− |
The 40 Canadian towns of 2,500+ people closest in population; city neighbourhoods, city totals and reserves are left out. Towns on one police service or detachment share its index.
The Canadian towns closest to Dufferin in population, the lowest Crime Severity Index first (2023–2025 means).
About 100 violent incidents a year in the area of the detachment nearest Dufferin (22,300 residents), 2023–2025
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 190 property crimes, plus 110 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
Crime in the places around Dufferin
Where a neighbour shares its police, it shares the figure too, and isn’t counted above.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- What 100 means. Its scale starts from Canada in 2006, set at 100, so a figure above 100 means more serious crime per resident than the country had then.
- The clearance rate. Police clear an incident by charging someone, recommending a charge, or closing it another way. The rate weighs serious crimes more, as the index does.
- Severity, weighed. Police-reported incidents, each multiplied by a weight drawn from court sentences, summed and divided by the population: that is the index, and its makers attach a caution, “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
Questions about safety in Dufferin
Is Dufferin safe?
Dufferin scores 27.2 on Statistics Canada’s Crime Severity Index (2023–2025 mean), where the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people is 68.5; per 1,000 residents a year that is 4.6 violent incidents and 8.7 property crimes.
What is the most common crime in Dufferin?
Police record other Criminal Code offences most, 2.8 per 1,000 residents a year, ahead of mischief (2.2) and assault (2.1).
Is crime going up in Dufferin?
Down 28%: 27.8 in 2023, 20 in 2025.
How much of Dufferin’s crime do police solve?
About 43% of crime is cleared, weighted by seriousness, with 66% of violent and 27% of other crime; the figure for the typical Canadian town its size is 34%.
Whose figures are these?
Those of the police serving Dufferin together with its neighbours or the countryside around it.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).