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B+Hazard risk Grade
Hazards in Thorncliffe · NRCan, Health Canada, CWFIS

A flood study covers Thorncliffe: 1 on the national inventory, the newest from Government of Alberta

No wildfire is mapped within 25 km of Thorncliffe’s homes since 1986 (0% of the land, 0.000% a year). Earthquake risk in Thorncliffe is ordinary: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.023 a year per $1,000 of value, close to the typical town’s $0.030. About as many homes carry radon around Thorncliffe as elsewhere, 8.1% over the guideline where the typical town has 6.6%. Hazard risk gives Thorncliffe a grade of B+, from earthquakes and radon alone.

In brief

What stands out about Thorncliffe’s hazards

Four national sources, each read for Thorncliffe: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.

By hazard

What Thorncliffe faces

Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.

Not on this page: flood zones and homes in them, past floods, landslides, industrial sites and storm surge: Canada has no national open source for them by town.
Hazard risk Grade

Hazard risk in Thorncliffe: B+

Two inputs always count for Thorncliffe, earthquakes and radon; the third, wildfire, counts only against a town.

Earthquake risk ($0.023)Better than 57% of Canadian towns
Radon (8.1%)Better than 57% of Canadian towns
Wildfire (one-sided) (Low)Not counted: it would have raised the grade
Flood study (Yes)Shown, never graded

Its place: #282 of 474 in Alberta and #1,102 of 2,589 Canadian towns.

How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.

Wildfire

Little of the land around Thorncliffe has burned: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km since 1986

Fires mapped since 1986 around where Thorncliffe’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.

0.000%
of land within 25 km burned a year
2014
last burn within 25 km
9.4 km
to the nearest mapped burn

Around Thorncliffe fire takes 0.000% of the land in a typical year, the typical Canadian town 0.000%, which is low.

No fire has burned within 5 km of Thorncliffe’s homes since 1986; the nearest burn is 9.4 km away.

Land within 5 and 25 km of Thorncliffe’s homes
Burned, 5 km0%
Burned, 25 km0%
Forest, 5 km0%
Forest, 25 km0.7%
Grass, 5 km3.6%

Forest fuel is scarce around Thorncliffe: 0% of the land within 5 km, 0.7% within 25 km.

Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).

Burn rate a year, towns in Alberta · highest of 478

Wainwright1.43%
Fort McMurray1.11%
Slave Lake0.89%
Lesser Slave River No. 1240.67%
High Level0.66%
Jasper0.50%
Wainwright No. 610.46%
Thorncliffe0.000%

Near-zero burning puts Thorncliffe with 386 of the 478 towns in Alberta, far below Wainwright at 1.43%.

Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.

Canada’s 2,610 towns by wildfire band
92%LowThorncliffe
5.4%Moderate
1.9%High
0.2%Very high

Most of the country’s 2,610 towns are low-band (92%, against 7.5% above); around Thorncliffe, burning rounds to zero.

Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.

Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)

Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.

Flood studies

A flood study covers Thorncliffe, from Government of Alberta: 1 on the inventory

Flood studies whose area touches Thorncliffe, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.

A 2012 study by Government of Alberta covers Thorncliffe, and its map, not the inventory, shows the zones.

StudyByYearStatus
Nose and West Nose Creek Flood Hazard StudyGovernment of Alberta2012final

Towns with a flood study on file

Alta.46%
Canada58%

Flood maps are thinner in Alberta, 46% of towns against 58% nationally, but Thorncliffe has one.

NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.

Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Thorncliffe.

The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”

Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.

Earthquakes

Earthquakes cost buildings in Thorncliffe $0.023 per $1,000 a year

NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.

$0.023
a year per $1,000 of building value
$4.9M
expected building losses a year, all told

With $0.023 of shaking damage a year per $1,000, Thorncliffe is about even with the typical $0.030 (0.8 times).

Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value

Black Diamond$0.048
Median, Canada$0.030
Thorncliffe$0.023
Median, Alta.$0.013

Above the middle in Alberta: Thorncliffe’s $0.023 against a median of $0.013, with Black Diamond highest at $0.048.

NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.

Canada’s 2,611 towns by shaking damage a year
14%under $0.01
21%$0.01+
15%$0.02+Thorncliffe
20%$0.03+
4.9%$0.05+
20%$0.10+
5.4%$0.25+
0.8%$0.60+

Thorncliffe’s earthquake risk lands near the centre of Canada’s range; 54% of the 2,611 towns are higher.

Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).

Roads, pipes and bridges aren’t in Thorncliffe’s figure, nor landslides or tsunami: it is buildings and shaking.

Earthquakes Canada

Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean). · Earthquake risk: one figure for all of the city of Calgary

Radon

Radon about average around Thorncliffe: 8.1% over the guideline

Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline. · Shared with the rest of the Calgary Health Region: radon tests

65 Bq/m³
median test
86
homes tested

Near the middle for radon: Thorncliffe’s area 8.1%, the typical Canadian town 6.6%.

Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³

Thorncliffe8.1%
Median, Alta.7.5%
Median, Canada6.6%

Over 600 Bq/m³

Thorncliffe0%
Median, Alta.0%
Median, Canada0%

Radon around Thorncliffe is ordinary for towns in Alberta: 8.1%, beside a median of 7.5%.

Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.

Canada’s 2,611 towns by share of tests over 200 Bq/m³
Under 5%37%
5–10% · Thorncliffe37%
10–20%22%
20–30%3.1%
30% or more1.5%

26% of Canada’s 2,611 towns have more homes over 200 Bq/m³ than Thorncliffe’s 5–10% band, which holds 37%.

Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.

One home in Thorncliffe can be high while next door is low; a three-month test settles it.

Take Action on Radon

Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).

Warnings

Weather and fire alerts for Thorncliffe

Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Thorncliffe; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.

AlertWhat it means
WarningSevere weather is happening or about to: act now.
WatchConditions favour severe weather: be ready.
AdvisoryWeather that is less severe but could disrupt the day.
Special weather statementUnusual weather worth knowing about.
Special air quality statementPoor air, often wildfire smoke.

Smoke and fire warnings for Thorncliffe come through Environment Canada and Alert Ready; the fire map is CWFIS’s.

Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)

Neighbours

How Thorncliffe’s neighbours compare on hazards

The same four hazards for the places next door.

Huntington HillsHighland ParkMount PleasantBeddington HeightsCharleswoodTuxedo ParkHuntington HillsHighland ParkMount PleasantBeddington HeightsCharleswoodTuxedo ParkThorncliffe
TownWildfireQuake $/1,000RadonFlood study
ThorncliffeLow$0.0238.1%Yes
Huntington Hills
13,184 · 1.7 km
Low$0.0238.1%Yes
Highland Park
4,908 · 1.8 km
Low$0.0238.1%Yes
Mount Pleasant
9,224 · 2.7 km
Low$0.0238.1%Yes
Beddington Heights
11,333 · 2.9 km
Low$0.0238.1%Yes
Charleswood
5,642 · 3.0 km
Low$0.0238.1%None listed
Tuxedo Park
4,082 · 3.2 km
Low$0.0238.1%Yes

None of the places around has more fire nearby than Thorncliffe (low); Huntington Hills comes closest (low).

Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.

Be ready

Get ready for what Thorncliffe faces

What to do about the hazards Thorncliffe faces, and what to ask before you buy.

Radon
  • Test for three months in winter.
  • Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
  • Kits are cheap; pros test too.
Take Action on Radon
When the river rises
  • Never drive through floodwater.
  • Move papers and medicines upstairs.
  • Ask whether your street is mapped.
Alert Ready
Wildfire season
  • Clear needles and wood nearby.
  • Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
  • In smoke, stay in; filter air.
FireSmart Canada
Before you buy or rent in Thorncliffe
  • Has it had a radon test?
  • Check the address on the flood map.
  • Are flood and wildfire insured?
How to read these numbers

What this data can and can’t tell you

  • Earthquakes are modelled. NRCan models what earthquakes would cost buildings each year on average, subdivision by subdivision; Thorncliffe’s figure is its subdivision’s.
  • Flood studies aren’t flood zones. Flood studies cover areas of every size, which is why the page lists them for Thorncliffe without grading them.
  • Radon is a survey. Radon figures pool the survey’s home tests by area: postal areas once their boundaries arrive, the 2007 health region around Thorncliffe until then.
  • Wildfire counts one way. Wildfire is read from the national burned-area record around Thorncliffe’s homes since 1986, a history of fire that may lower Risk but never raises it.

Get Prepared (Public Safety Canada)

Questions about flooding and hazards in Thorncliffe

How is Thorncliffe’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?

Thorncliffe grades B+ for hazard risk, from earthquakes and radon, with wildfire counted only where it lowers the grade.

Is Thorncliffe at risk of wildfire?

Fire has reached 0% of the land around Thorncliffe since 1986 (last in 2014); at low, it neither helps nor hurts the grade.

Does Thorncliffe flood?

A flood study covers Thorncliffe on Canada’s Flood Map Inventory; open the owner’s map to check a street, since flood isn’t graded.

How big is the earthquake risk in Thorncliffe?

Expected earthquake damage in Thorncliffe comes to $0.023 a year for each $1,000 that buildings are worth.

Is radon a problem in Thorncliffe?

Around Thorncliffe, 86 survey homes were tested and 8.1% came in over 200 Bq/m³, a guide to the area, not to any one home.

Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.

Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.

Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).