Auburn Bay’s hazards at a glance: a low wildfire record and 8.1% of area homes over the radon guideline
Wildfire isn’t Auburn Bay’s worry: 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986 (0.000% a year). Earthquake risk in Auburn Bay is ordinary: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.023 a year per $1,000 of value, close to the typical town’s $0.030. Hazard risk gives Auburn Bay a grade of B+, from earthquakes and radon alone.
What stands out about Auburn Bay’s hazards
For Auburn Bay, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Auburn Bay faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Auburn Bay grades B+ for hazard risk
The grade weighs Auburn Bay’s seismic risk and radon equally, and wildfire is one-sided: a high band counts against a town, a low one earns nothing.
Its place: #282 of 474 in Alberta and #1,102 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Few fires near Auburn Bay: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Auburn Bay’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
In a typical year 0.000% of the land near Auburn Bay burns; the typical Canadian town sees 0.000%, and both are low.
Nothing inside 5 km of Auburn Bay’s homes has burned since 1986, and the nearest scar is 13 km off.
Forest makes up 0.1% of the land within 5 km of Auburn Bay and 0.5% within 25 km, little for a forest fire to run through.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Alberta · highest of 478
Wainwright has the highest burn rate in Alberta, 1.43% a year; around Auburn Bay, as around 386 of the 478 towns, it rounds to zero.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Auburn Bay shares the low band with 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns, its burn rate rounding to nothing; 7.5% burn faster.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Auburn Bay
Flood studies whose area touches Auburn Bay, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
The inventory has nothing for Auburn Bay, but a local or conservation-authority map may still exist.
Towns with a flood study on file
No study touches Auburn Bay; in Alberta, 46% of towns have one, below Canada’s 58%.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Listed, not scored: a flood study proves a map exists, not that Auburn Bay floods.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Expected shaking damage in Auburn Bay: $0.023 a year per $1,000
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
0.8 times the typical $0.030: Auburn Bay’s $0.023 is ordinary.
Nobody publishes earthquake risk for Auburn Bay alone, so this card uses the figure for the city of Calgary.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Earthquake risk in Alberta peaks in Black Diamond ($0.048); Auburn Bay, at $0.023, sits above the median of $0.013.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Auburn Bay sits mid-range among Canada’s 2,611 towns: 54% expect more shaking damage.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
For Auburn Bay the model prices shaking damage to buildings, nothing more.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Some radon around Auburn Bay: 8.1% of area homes over the guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline. · Measured across the Calgary Health Region: radon tests
Near the middle for radon: Auburn Bay’s area 8.1%, the typical Canadian town 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Around Auburn Bay, 8.1% of tests topped the guideline, about the same as the typical town in Alberta (7.5%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Auburn Bay is in the 5–10% band with 37% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; 26% have more.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Neighbouring homes in Auburn Bay can differ a lot; only a long-term test tells you about yours.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Where to get warnings in Auburn Bay
Alerts for Auburn Bay come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Evacuation orders for Auburn Bay come from the municipality or the province, while CWFIS maps fire danger every day.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Auburn Bay’s neighbours compare on hazards
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Bay | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | None listed |
| Cranston 20,055 · 1.5 km | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | Yes |
| Mahogany 17,818 · 2.1 km | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | Yes |
| McKenzie Towne 17,757 · 2.7 km | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | Yes |
| New Brighton 13,048 · 3.3 km | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | None listed |
| McKenzie Lake 11,966 · 3.5 km | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | Yes |
| Copperfield 13,952 · 3.8 km | Low | $0.023 | 8.1% | None listed |
Cranston (low) has the heaviest fire record of Auburn Bay’s neighbours, and Auburn Bay (low) matches or beats it.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Auburn Bay faces
What to do about the hazards Auburn Bay faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for Auburn Bay’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. Flood studies cover areas of every size, which is why the page lists them for Auburn Bay without grading them.
- Radon is a survey. Radon figures pool the survey’s home tests by area: postal areas once their boundaries arrive, the 2007 health region around Auburn Bay until then.
- Wildfire counts one way. For Auburn Bay, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Auburn Bay
How is Auburn Bay’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Hazard risk gives Auburn Bay B+, weighing earthquakes and radon and counting wildfire only against it.
Is Auburn Bay at risk of wildfire?
Fire has reached 0% of the land around Auburn Bay since 1986 (last in 2013); at low, it neither helps nor hurts the grade.
Is radon a problem in Auburn Bay?
Around Auburn Bay, 86 survey homes were tested and 8.1% came in over 200 Bq/m³, a guide to the area, not to any one home.
How big is the earthquake risk in Auburn Bay?
Expected earthquake damage in Auburn Bay comes to $0.023 a year for each $1,000 that buildings are worth.
Does Auburn Bay flood?
With 0 studies on the inventory, Auburn Bay’s flood risk is unmapped nationally; check with the municipality before buying.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).