More hazard damage per building is expected in Dogtown than in 82% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Dogtown gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns, #194 of 847 in California. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (82%), then earthquakes (11%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Dogtown faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Earthquakes
Wildfire
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Dogtown’s grade
River and rain flooding is 82% of the building damage FEMA expects in Dogtown, and Dogtown’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 7%, at a rate in the top 5% of U.S. census tracts.
C− #194 of 847 in California; higher expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns (21,298).
All of Dogtown’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.
The typical California town has higher expected damage than 92% of U.S. towns; within the state, Dogtown has less expected damage per building than 77% of California towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.8M a year in losses across Dogtown: $1.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Dogtown flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Dogtown. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Dogtown isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: San Joaquin County.The storms Dogtown remembers
None of the 22 disasters declared for San Joaquin County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Dogtown itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.
San Joaquin County has had 22 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Get ready for what Dogtown faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Drop, cover and hold on.
- Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
- Know how to shut off the gas.
- Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
- Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
- Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Dogtown
Is Dogtown at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Dogtown has higher expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk, #194 of 847 in California. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (82%) and earthquakes (11%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Dogtown in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In San Joaquin County, 25% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.8% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Dogtown?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Dogtown’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
Is Dogtown at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (82%), and Dogtown’s rate for it is higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Dogtown.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Dogtown’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.