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Manning CabinManning Cabin · Photo: National Park Service inventory · Public domain
Climate in Rincon Valley · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

Rincon Valley reaches 100° on about 64 days a year, more than all but 116 U.S. towns

A typical July afternoon reaches 98°, a January night drops to 36°, and snow is almost unheard of.

Hotter July afternoons than 98% of U.S. towns#89Hottest summers  of 138 in AZ
Drier than 95% of U.S. towns#100 driest of 138 in AZ
All AZ rankings →

A year in Rincon Valley at a glance

Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.

Jan66°36° Last frost ~Jan 26
Feb68°38°
Mar74°43° 1 day 90°+
Apr81°48° 7 days 90°+
May90°55° 18 days 90°+
Jun99°65° 30 days 90°+
Jul98°71° 30 days 90°+
Aug96°70° 29 days 90°+Wettest
Sep93°64° 24 days 90°+
Oct85°53° 10 days 90°+
Nov now74°42° 1 day 90°+
Dec64°36° First frost ~Dec 16

What stands out about Rincon Valley’s climate

Compared with towns across the U.S., with Rincon Valley’s place in Arizona beside it.

A normal year

What a year in Rincon Valley feels like

Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.

Winter
66° / 36°
Snow is rare
Spring
82° / 48°
Last frost around Jan 26
Summer
98° / 69°
64 days reach 100°
Fall
84° / 53°
First frost around Dec 16
Best months to be outsideMarAprNovHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Frost, heat & the growing season

About 326 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by January 26 and the first by December 16. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Saguaro Np, AZ, 6 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.

Short record. NOAA estimated Saguaro Np, AZ’s counts from 9 years of data and its neighbors’, not a full 30-year record.
8
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
34th fewest of 137 in Arizona
Fewer freezing nights than 92% of U.S. towns
0
nights at or below 0°
None in a normal year
150
days that reach 90°
70th most of 137 in Arizona
More 90° days than all but 156 U.S. towns
64
days that reach 100°
66th most of 137 in Arizona
More 100° days than all but 116 U.S. towns
9aUSDA zone
Plant hardiness zone 9a

The 2023 USDA map puts Rincon Valley’s center in zone 9a: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 23°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

3
JFMAMJJASOND

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more

30
JFMAMJJASOND
Rain & snow

About 13 inches of rain a year

August is the wettest month and May the driest. Rain falls on about 48 days a year. Snow is rare: about 0.1" in a normal year at Vail 7 N, AZ, so most winters see none.

13"
Rain + melted snow a year
100th driest of 138 in Arizona
Drier than 95% of U.S. towns
0.1"
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 85% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water

2.7"
JFMAMJJASOND
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Rincon Valley

30% of the work is heating, so air conditioning is the bigger bill. Months averaging under 55° run from December through February.

1,399 heating degree daysLess heating than 92% of U.S. towns
3,262 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 95% of U.S. towns

Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Saguaro Np, AZ.

Living here

Living with Rincon Valley’s climate

What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.

The garden window

326 frost-free days in zone 9a. The last frost comes by Jan 26 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Dec 16.

Get outside

Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: March, April and November. 33 miles of trails are waiting.

Parks & trails →
Storms and extremes

Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Rincon Valley from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (67%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 19%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.

Natural hazards →
Next door

Rincon Valley and its neighbors

Tucson the hottest July afternoons (100°, 2° warmer). Differences under a degree are within what the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.

Catalina Foothills: January low 39°, July high 100°Casas Adobes: January low 38°, July high 101°Tanque Verde: January low 36°, July high 100°Tucson Mountains: January low 39°, July high 101°Flowing Wells: January low 38°, July high 102°Drexel Heights: January low 39°, July high 100°Summit: January low 38°, July high 100°Kleindale: January low 38°, July high 101°Marana: January low 39°, July high 102°Vail: January low 36°, July high 97°Tucson: January low 38°, July high 100°Rincon Valley: January low 36°, July high 98°Rincon ValleyVailTucson
ColderMilder36° to 39°
Vail35.8° about the same
Rincon Valley36.0°
Tucson38.2° +2.2°

Climates most like Rincon Valley’s, farther away

TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.

TownJan. lowJuly highPrecip.Snow
Rincon Valley, AZ36°98°13"0.1"
Valle Vista, CA38°98°12"0.0"
Monahans, TX30°98°12"0.7"
Ivins, UT32°100°11"1.2"
Sunland Park, NM32°96°9"2.0"

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

The last 30 years in Rincon Valley averaged 1.4° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in March (+2.4°).

+1.4°1991–2020 vs. 1901–2000

A bigger shift than in 54% of U.S. towns.

Winter+1.2°now 51°, was 50°
Spring+2.0°now 65°, was 63°
Summer+1.2°now 83°, was 82°
Fall+1.3°now 68°, was 67°

Change by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.

Compared with other towns

How Rincon Valley compares

Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Rincon Valley’s place among Arizona’s.

Summer heat98° July high
Hotter July afternoons than 98% of U.S. towns89th hottest of 138 in Arizona
Winter cold36° January low
Milder January nights than 83% of U.S. towns73rd mildest of 138 in Arizona
Precipitation13" a year
Drier than 95% of U.S. towns100th driest of 138 in Arizona
Snow0.1" a winter
Less snow than 85% of U.S. townsNot ranked: under an inch a year
Hot days150 days at 90°+
More 90° days than all but 156 U.S. towns70th most of 137 in Arizona
Freezing nights8 a year
Fewer freezing nights than 92% of U.S. towns34th fewest of 137 in Arizona
Growing season326 frost-free days
A longer frost-free season than all but 49 U.S. towns10th longest of 116 in Arizona
Month by month

Rincon Valley weather by month

Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Rincon Valley’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Vail 7 N, AZ. 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January66°36°1.1"0.1"4046° – 56°
February68°38°1.1"0.0"4047° – 58°
March74°43°0.8"0.0"4052° – 63°
April81°48°0.3"0.0"2059° – 69°
May90°55°0.2"0.0"1067° – 77°
June99°65°0.3"0.0"2077° – 85°
July98°71°2.5"0.0"9081° – 87°
August96°70°2.7"0.0"9081° – 88°
September93°64°1.5"0.0"4075° – 81°
October85°53°0.7"0.0"3065° – 73°
November74°42°0.7"0.0"3050° – 65°
December64°36°1.3"0.0"4046° – 54°
Year82°52°13.2"0.1"480
Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average. November swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 50° to 65°. July is the most reliable, staying within 6°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Sources

Where Rincon Valley’s numbers come from

Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →

  • Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Rincon Valley’s center.
  • Snow: Vail 7 N, AZ.
  • Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Saguaro Np, AZ, 6 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
  • Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
  • Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
  • Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).

Common questions about Rincon Valley’s climate

What is the weather like in Rincon Valley?

A typical July afternoon reaches 98°, a January night drops to 36°, and snow is almost unheard of. Milder January nights than 83% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 98% of U.S. towns.

How cold does it get in Rincon Valley in winter?

December nights average 36°. About 8 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest December of the last 30 years the month averaged 46°.

How much snow does Rincon Valley get?

About 0.1 inches in a normal winter at Vail 7 N, AZ, so most winters see none.

How hot does it get in Rincon Valley?

July, with a typical high of 98° and a low of 71°. About 150 days a year reach 90° and 64 reach 100° (Saguaro Np, AZ).

When is the first and last frost in Rincon Valley?

In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by January 26 and the first fall frost by December 16, about 326 frost-free days, at Saguaro Np, AZ.

What growing zone is Rincon Valley in?

Zone 9a on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 23°.

What is the best time of year to visit Rincon Valley?

By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), March, April and November. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.

Is Rincon Valley getting warmer?

Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.4° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 54% of U.S. towns.

Neighbors talk weather

Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Rincon Valley.

Town Square →
Ask your neighbors

Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.